Upcoming matches ranked by impact on the selected country, sorted by color.
Red — simulated advance % swings 20+ points across outcomes, or country is directly playing
Orange — swing of 8–20 points; result meaningfully shifts odds
Yellow — swing of 2–8 points; minor indirect effect
Grey — negligible impact; these matches are hidden from this list
"Rank N/12" assumes all other matches are frozen — accurate for the very next match, less so further out. "sim %" reflects thousands of full-tournament simulations and stays meaningful regardless of schedule.
Click a match header to collapse its outcome table.